Having completed a heuristic derivation of the monotonicity of Perelman reduced volume (Conjecture 1 from the previous lecture), we now turn to a rigorous proof. Whereas in the previous lecture we derived this monotonicity by converting a parabolic spacetime to a high-dimensional Riemannian manifold, and then formally applying tools such as the Bishop-Gromov inequality to that setting, our approach here shall take the opposite tack, finding parabolic analogues of the proof of the elliptic Bishop-Gromov inequality, in particular obtaining analogues of the classical first and second variation formulae for geodesics, in which the notion of length is replaced by the notion of {\mathcal L}-length introduced in the previous lecture.

The material here is primarily based on Perelman’s first paper and Müller’s book, but detailed treatments also appear in the paper of Ye, the notes of Kleiner-Lott, the book of Morgan-Tian, and the paper of Cao-Zhu.

— Reduction to a pointwise inequality —

Recall that the Bishop-Gromov inequality (Corollary 1 from the previous lecture) states (among other things) that if a d-dimensional complete Riemannian manifold (M,g) is Ricci-flat (or more generally, has non-negative Ricci curvature), and x_0 is any point in M, then the Bishop-Gromov reduced volume \hbox{Vol}(B(x_0,r))/r^d is a non-increasing function of r. In fact one can obtain the slightly sharper result that \hbox{Area}(S(x_0,r))/r^{d-1} is a non-increasing function of r, where S(x_0,r) is the sphere of radius r centred at x_0.

From the basic formula {\mathcal L}_{\partial r} d\mu = (\Delta r)\ d\mu (equation (1) from the previous lecture) and the Gauss lemma, one readily obtains the identity

\displaystyle \frac{d}{dr} \hbox{Area}(S(x_0,r)) = \int_{S(x_0,r)} \Delta r\ dS (1)

where dS is the area element. The monotonicity of \hbox{Area}(S(x_0,r))/r^{d-1} then follows (formally, at least) from the pointwise inequality

\displaystyle \Delta r \leq \frac{d-1}{r} (2)

which we will derive shortly (at least for the portion of the manifold inside the cut locus) as a consequence of the first and second variation formulae for geodesics. (In the previous lecture, the inequality (2) was derived from a transport inequality for \Delta r, but we will take a slightly different tack here.) Observe that (2) is an equality when (M,g) is a Euclidean space {\Bbb R}^d.

It turns out that the monotonicity of Perelman reduced volume for Ricci flows can similarly be reduced to a pointwise inequality, in which the Laplacian \Delta is replaced by a heat operator, and the radial variable r is replaced by the Perelman reduced length. More precisely, given an ancient Ricci flow t \mapsto (M,g(t)) for t \in (-\infty,0], a time -\tau, and two points x_0, x \in M, recall that the reduced length l_{(0,x_0)}( -\tau,x) is defined as

\displaystyle l_{(0,x_0)}( -\tau,x) := \frac{1}{2\sqrt{\tau}} \inf_\gamma {\mathcal L}(\gamma) (3)

where the {\mathcal L}-length {\mathcal L}(\gamma) of a curve \gamma: [0,\tau_1] \to M from x_0 to x_1 is defined as

\displaystyle {\mathcal L}(\gamma) = \int_0^{\tau_1} \sqrt{\tau} (R + |X|_{g(-\tau)}^2)\ d\tau, (4)

where we adopt the shorthand X := \partial_{\tau} \gamma, and that Conjecture 1 from the previous lecture asserts that the Perelman reduced volume

\displaystyle \tilde V_{(0,x_0)}(-\tau) = \int_M \tau^{-d/2} \exp( - l_{(0,x_0)}(-\tau,x) )\ d\mu_{g(-\tau)}(x) (5)

is non-increasing in \tau for Ricci flows. If we differentiate (5) in \tau, using the variation formula \frac{d}{d\tau} d\mu = R\ d\mu, we easily verify that the monotonicity of (5) will follow (assuming l_{(0,x_0)} is sufficiently smooth, and that either M is compact, or l_{(0,x_0)} grows sufficiently quickly at infinity) from the pointwise inequality

\displaystyle \partial_{\tau} l_{(0,x_0)} - \Delta_{g(-\tau)} l_{(0,x_0)} + |\nabla l|_{g(-\tau)}^2 - R + \frac{d}{2\tau} \geq 0 (6)

which should be viewed as a parabolic analogue to (2).

Exercise 1. Verify that (6) is an equality in the case of the (trivial) Ricci flow on Euclidean space, using Example 1 from the previous lecture. (This is of course consistent with Example 2 from that lecture.) \diamond

Exercise 2. Show that (6) is equivalent to the assertion that the function v(-\tau,x) := (4\pi \tau)^{-d/2} \exp(-l_{(0,x_0)}(-\tau,x)) is a subsolution of the adjoint heat equation, or more precisely that \partial_t v - \Delta v + Rv \leq 0. Note that this fact implies the monotonicity of Perelman reduced volume (cf. Exercise 2 from Lecture 8). [It seems that the elliptic analogue of this fact is the assertion that the Newton-type potential 1/r^{d-2} is subharmonic away from the origin for Ricci flat manifolds of dimension three or larger , which is a claim which is easily seen to be equivalent to (2) thanks to the Gauss lemma.] \diamond

So to prove monotonicity of the Perelman reduced volume, the main task will be to establish the pointwise inequality (6). (There are some additional technical issues, mainly concerning the parabolic counterpart of the cut locus, which we will also have to address, but we will work formally for now, and deal with these analytical matters later.)

We will perform a minor simplification: by using the rescaling symmetry g(t,x) \mapsto \lambda^2 g(\frac{t}{\lambda^2}) (and noting the unsurprising fact that (6) is dimensionally consistent) we can normalise \tau_1 = 1.

— First and second variation formulae for {\mathcal L}-geodesics —

To establish (6), we of course need some variation formulae that compute the first and second derivatives of the reduced length function l_{(0,x_0)}. To motivate these formulae, let us first recall the more classical variation formulae that give the first and second derivatives of the metric function d(x_0,x) on a Riemannian manifold (M,g), which in particular can be used to derive (2) when the Ricci curvature is non-negative.

We recall that the distance d(x_0,x) can be defined by the energy-minimisation formula

\displaystyle \frac{1}{2} d(x_0,x)^2 = \inf_\gamma E(\gamma) (7)

where \gamma: [0,1] \to M ranges over all C^1 curves from x_0 to x, where the Dirichlet energy E(\gamma) of the curve is given by the formula

\displaystyle E(\gamma) = \frac{1}{2} \int_0^1 |X|_g^2\ dt (8)

where we write X := \partial_t \gamma. It is known that this infimum is always attained by some geodesic \gamma; we shall assume this implicitly in the computations which follow.

Now suppose that we deform such a curve \gamma with respect to a real parameter s \in (-\varepsilon,\varepsilon), thus \gamma: (s,t) \mapsto \gamma(s,t) is now a function on the two-dimensional parameter space (\varepsilon,\varepsilon) \times [0,1]. The first variation here can be computed as

\displaystyle \frac{d}{ds} E(\gamma) = \int_0^1 g( \nabla_X X, X )\ dt (9)

where \nabla_X is the pullback of the Levi-Civita connection on M with respect to \gamma applied in the direction \partial_t; here we of course use that g is parallel with respect to this connection. The torsion-free nature of this connection gives us the identity

\nabla_Y X = \nabla_X Y (10)

where Y = \partial_s \gamma is the infinitesimal variation, and \nabla_Y is the pullback of the Levi-Civita connection applied in the direction \partial_s (cf. Exercise 5 from Lecture 6). An integration by parts (again using the parallel nature of g) then gives the first variation formula

\displaystyle \frac{d}{ds} E(\gamma) = g( Y, X )|_{t=0}^1 - \int_0^1 g( Y, \nabla_X X )\ dt. (11)

If we fix the endpoints of \gamma to be \gamma(s,0) = x_0 and \gamma(s,1)=x_1, then the first term on the right-hand side of (11) vanishes. If we consider arbitrary infinitesimal variations Y of \gamma with fixed endpoints, we thus conclude that in order to be a minimiser for (7), that \gamma must obey the geodesic flow equation

\nabla_X X = 0. (12)

One consequence of this is that the speed |X|_g of such a minimiser must be constant, and from (7) we then conclude

|X|_g = d(x_0,x). (13)

If we then vary a geodesic \gamma(0,\cdot) with the initial endpoint \gamma(s,0) fixed at x_0 and the final endpoint \gamma(s,1) = x(s) variable, the variation formula (11) gives

\displaystyle \frac{d}{ds} E(\gamma) = g( x'(s), X(s,1) ) (14)

which, if we insert this back into (7) and use (13), gives

\displaystyle \frac{d}{ds} d(x_0,x) \leq g( x'(s), X(s,1) / |X(s,1)|_g ) (13)

which is a (one-sided) version of the Gauss lemma. If one is inside the cut locus, then the metric function is smooth, and one can then replace the inequality with an equality by considering variations both forwards and backwards in the s variable, recovering the full Gauss lemma. In particular, we conclude in this case that \nabla d(x_0,x) is a unit vector.

Now we consider the second variation \frac{d^2}{ds^2} E(\gamma) of the energy, when \gamma is already a geodesic. For simplicity we assume that \gamma evolves geodesically in the s direction, thus

\nabla_Y Y = 0. (14)

[Actually, since \gamma is already a geodesic and thus is stationary with respect to perturbations that respect the endpoints, the values of \nabla_Y Y away from endpoints – which represents a second-order perturbation respecting the endpoints – will have no ultimate effect on the second variation of E(\gamma). Nevertheless it is convenient to assume (14) to avoid a few routine additional calculations.]

Differentiating (9) once more we obtain

\displaystyle \frac{d^2}{ds^2} E(\gamma) = \int_0^1 g( \nabla_Y \nabla_Y X, X ) + |\nabla_Y X|_g^2 \ dt. (15)

Using (10), (14), and the definition of curvature, we have

\nabla_Y \nabla_Y X = \nabla_Y \nabla_X Y

= \nabla_X \nabla_Y Y + \hbox{Riem}( Y, X ) Y (16)

= -\hbox{Riem}( X, Y ) Y

and thus (by one further application of (10))

\displaystyle \frac{d^2}{ds^2} E(\gamma) = \int_0^1 |\nabla_X Y|_g^2 - g(\hbox{Riem}(X, Y) Y, X)\ dt. (17)

Now let us fix the initial endpoint \gamma(s,0) = x_0 and let the other endpoint \gamma(s,1) = x(s) vary, thus \partial_s \gamma equals 0 at time t=0 and equals x'(s) at time t=1. From Cauchy-Schwarz we conclude

\int_0^1 |\nabla_X Y|_g^2\ dt \leq \int_0^1 (\partial_t |Y|_g)^2\ dt \leq (\int_0^1 \partial_t |Y|_g\ dt)^2 = |x'(s)|^2. (18)

Actually, we can attain equality here by choosing the vector field Y appropriately:

Exercise 3. If we set Y := t v, where v is the parallel transport of x'(s) along X, or more precisely the vector field that solves the ODE

\nabla_X v = 0; v(s,1) = x'(s) (19)

show that all the inequalities in (18) are obeyed with equality. \diamond

For such a vector field, we conclude that

\displaystyle \frac{d^2}{ds^2} E(\gamma) = |x'(s)|^2 - \int_0^1 - t^2 g(\hbox{Riem}(X, v) v, X)\ dt. (20)

From this formula (and the first variation formula) we conclude that

\displaystyle \frac{d^2}{ds^2} \frac{1}{2} d(x_0,x)^2 \leq |x'(s)|^2 - \int_0^1 t^2 g(\hbox{Riem}(X, v) v, X)\ dt. (21)

Now let x'(0) vary over an orthonormal basis of the tangent space of x(0); by (19) we see that v determines an orthonormal frame for s=0 and 0 \leq t \leq 1. Summing (21) over this basis (and using the formula for the Laplacian in normal coordinates) we conclude that

\displaystyle \Delta \frac{1}{2} d(x_0,x)^2 \leq d - \int_0^1 t^2 \hbox{Ric}(X,X)\ dt. (22)

In particular, for manifolds of non-negative Ricci curvature we have

\displaystyle \Delta \frac{1}{2} d(x_0,x)^2 \leq d (23)

from which (2) easily follows from the Gauss lemma. (Observe that (23) is obeyed with equality in the Euclidean case.)

Now we develop analogous variational formulae for {\mathcal L}-length (and reduced length) on a Ricci flow. We shall work formally for now, assuming that all infima are actually attained and that all quantities are as smooth as necessary for the analysis that follows to work; we then discuss later how to justify all of these assumptions. As mentioned earlier, we normalise \tau_1 = 1.

Let us take a path \gamma: [0,1] \to M and vary it with respect to some additional parameter s as before. Differentiating (4), we obtain

\displaystyle \frac{d}{ds} {\mathcal L}(\gamma) = \int_0^1 \sqrt{\tau} ( \nabla_Y R + 2 g( X,  \nabla_Y X ))\ d\tau (24)

where X := \partial_\tau \gamma and Y := \partial_s \gamma. On the other hand, if we have a Ricci flow \partial_\tau g = 2 \hbox{Ric}, we see that

\partial_\tau g( X, Y ) = g( \nabla_X X, Y ) + g( X, \nabla_X Y ) + 2 \hbox{Ric}( X, Y ); (25)

placing this into (24) and using the fundamental theorem of calculus, we can express the right-hand side of (24) as

2 g( X, Y )(\tau_1) - 2 \int_0^1 \sqrt{\tau} g( Y, G(X) )\ d\tau (26)

where G(X) is the vector field

G := \nabla_X X - \frac{1}{2} \nabla R + \frac{1}{2\tau} X + 2 \hbox{Ric}(X,\cdot)^*. (27)

Here \hbox{Ric}(X,\cdot)^* is the vector field (\hbox{Ric}(X,\cdot)^*)^\alpha = g^{\alpha \beta} \hbox{Ric}_{\gamma \beta} X^\gamma, or equivalently it is the vector field Z such that \hbox{Ric}(X,W) = g(Z,W) for all vector fields W.

Note that G does not depend on Y. From this we see that in order for \gamma to be a minimiser of {\mathcal L}(\gamma) with the endpoints fixed, we must have G(X)=0, which is the parabolic analogue of the geodesic flow equation (14).

Example 1. In the case of the trivial Euclidean flow, the minimal {\mathcal L}-path from (0,x_0) to (-1,x_1) takes the form \gamma(\tau) = x_0 + v \sqrt{\tau} where v := x_1-x_0, in which case X = \frac{v}{2\sqrt{\tau}}. It is not hard to verify that G=0 in this case. \diamond.

Arguing as in the elliptic case, we conclude (assuming the existence of a unique minimiser, and the local smoothness of reduced length) the first variation formula

\partial_s l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1) = g( X, \partial_s x_1)(1) (28)

or equivalently

\nabla l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1) = X(1). (29)

Example 2. Continuing Example 1, note that l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1) = |x_1-x_0|^2/4 and \partial_\tau \gamma = (x_1-x_0)/2, which is of course consistent with (28). \diamond

Having computed the spatial derivative of the reduced length, we turn to the time derivative. The simplest way to compute this is to observe that any partial segment of an {\mathcal L}-minimising path must again be a {\mathcal L}-minimising path. From (4) and the fundamental theorem of calculus we have

\displaystyle \frac{d}{d\tau_1} {\mathcal L}(\gamma)|_{\tau_1 = 1} = R + |X|_g^2 (30)

where we vary \gamma in \tau_1 by truncation; by (3) and the above discussion we conclude

\displaystyle \frac{d}{d\tau_1} ( 2\sqrt{\tau_1} l_{(0,x_0)}(-\tau_1,x_1) )|_{\tau_1=1} = (R + |X|_g^2) (31)

where (\tau_1,x_1) varies along \gamma (in particular, \partial_{\tau_1} x_1 = X). Applying the product and chain rules, we can expand the left-hand side of (31) as

l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1) + 2 \partial_{\tau_1}l_{(0,x_0)}(-\tau_1,x_1)|_{\tau_1=-1} + 2 g( \nabla l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1), X ); (32)

using (29), we conclude that

\partial_{\tau_1} l_{(0,x_0)}(-\tau_1,x_1)|_{\tau_1=1} = \frac{1}{2} (R + |X|_g^2) - \frac{1}{2} l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1) -  |X|_g^2. (33)

Now we turn to the second spatial variation of the reduced length. Let \gamma be a {\mathcal L}-minimiser, so that G=0. Differentiating (24) again, we obtain

\displaystyle \frac{d^2}{ds^2} {\mathcal L}(\gamma) = \int_0^{1} \sqrt{\tau} ( \nabla_Y \nabla_Y R + 2 |\nabla_Y X|^2 + 2 g( X,  \nabla_Y \nabla_Y X ))\ d\tau. (34)

As in the elliptic case, it is convenient to assume that we have a geodesic variation (14). In that case, we again have (16), and we also have \nabla_Y \nabla_Y R = \hbox{Hess}(R)(Y,Y). Using (10), we thus express (34) as

\int_0^{1} \sqrt{\tau} ( \hbox{Hess}(R)(Y,Y) + 2 |\nabla_X Y|^2 - 2 g(\hbox{Riem}(X,Y) Y, X))\ d\tau. (35)

As before, we optimise this in Y. Because the metric g now changes in time by Ricci flow, one has to modify the prescription in Exercise 3 slightly. More precisely, we now set Y := \sqrt{\tau} v, where v solves the following variant of (19),

\nabla_X v = - \hbox{Ric}(v,\cdot)^*; v(s,1) = x'(s). (36)

The point of doing this is that the ODE is orthogonal; the length of v is preserved along X, as is the inner product between any two such v’s (cf. equation (15) from Lecture 3). A brief computation then shows that

\displaystyle \nabla_X Y = \frac{1}{2\sqrt{\tau}}  v - \sqrt{\tau} \hbox{Ric}(v,\cdot)^* (37)

and hence

\displaystyle |\nabla_X Y|_g^2 = \frac{1}{4\tau} |x'(s)|_g^2 + \tau |\hbox{Ric}(v,\cdot)|^2 - \hbox{Ric}(v,v). (38)

Putting all of this into (35), we now see that the second variation (34) is equal to

\displaystyle \int_0^1 \tau^{3/2} \hbox{Hess}(R)(v,v) + \frac{1}{2\tau^{1/2}} |x'(s)|_g^2 + 2\tau^{3/2} |\hbox{Ric}(v,\cdot)|^2

\displaystyle - 2 \tau^{1/2} \hbox{Ric}(v,v) - 2\tau^{3/2} g(\hbox{Riem}(X,v) v, X)\ d\tau. (39)

We now let x'(0) range over an orthonormal basis of x(0), which leads to v being an orthonormal frame at every point (0,t). Summing over (39) and also using (3), we conclude that

\displaystyle \Delta l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1) \leq \int_0^{1} \frac{\tau^{3/2}}{2} \Delta R + \frac{d}{4\tau^{1/2}} + \tau^{3/2}|\hbox{Ric}|_g^2 - \tau^{1/2} R - \tau^{3/2} \hbox{Ric}(X,X)\ d\tau. (40)

Now we simplify the right-hand side of (40). The second term is of course elementary:

\displaystyle \int_0^1 \frac{d}{4\tau^{1/2}}\ d\tau = \frac{d}{2} (41)

and this is consistent with the Euclidean case (in which \Delta l_{(0,x_0)} is exactly \frac{d}{2} when \tau_1=1, and all curvature terms vanish). To simplify the remaining terms, we recall the variation formula

-\partial_\tau R = \Delta R + 2 |\hbox{Ric}|_g^2 (42)

for the scalar curvature (equation (31) of Lecture 1); by the chain rule, we thu have the total derivative formula

\frac{d}{d\tau} R = -\Delta R - 2 |\hbox{Ric}|_g^2 + \nabla_X R. (43)

Inserting (41), (43) into (40) and integrating by parts, we express the right-hand side of (40) as

\displaystyle \frac{d}{2} - \frac{1}{2} R + \int_0^{1}  \frac{\tau^{3/2}}{2}  \nabla_X R - \frac{\tau^{1/2}}{4} R - \tau^{3/2} \hbox{Ric}(X,X)\ d\tau. (44)

To simplify this further, recall that the quantity G defined in (27) vanishes. This (and the fact that g evolves by Ricci flow \partial_\tau g = 2 \hbox{Ric}) allows one to compute the variation of \tau |X|_g^2:

\partial_\tau (\tau |X|_g^2) = \tau \partial_X R - 2 \tau \hbox{Ric}(X,X). (45)

Inserting this into (44) and integrating by parts, one can rewrite (44) as

\displaystyle \frac{d}{2} - \frac{1}{2} R + \frac{1}{2} |X|_g^2 - \frac{1}{4} \int_0^1 \sqrt{\tau} (R + |X|^2)\ d\tau (46)

and so by (3) we obtain the inequality

\Delta l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1) \leq \frac{d}{2} - \frac{1}{2} R + \frac{1}{2} |X|_g^2 - \frac{1}{2} l_{(0,x_0)}(-1,x_1). (47)

Combining (29), (33), and (47) we obtain (6) as desired.

— Analytical issues —

We now discuss in broad terms the analytical issues that one must address in order to make the above arguments rigorous. We first review the classical elliptic theory (i.e. the theory of geodesics in a Riemannian manifold) before turning to Perelman’s parabolic theory of {\mathcal L}-geodesics in a flow of Riemannian metrics.

In a complete Riemannian manifold, a geodesic \gamma: [0,1] \to M from a fixed point \gamma(0) = x_0 to some other point \gamma(1)=x_1 has a well-defined initial velocity vector \gamma'(0) = X(0), and conversely each initial velocity vector v = X(0)\in T_{x_0} M determines a unique geodesic with an endpoint x_1 = \exp_{x_0}(v), thus defining the exponential map based at x_0. One can show (from standard ODE theory) that this exponential map is smooth (with the derivative of this map controlled by Jacobi fields). Also, if M is connected, then any two points can be joined by a geodesic, and the exponential map is onto. However, there can be vectors v for which this map degenerates (i.e. its derivative ceases to be invertible) – these correspond to the conjugate points of x_0 in M.

Define the injectivity region of x_0 to be the set of all x_1 for which there is a unique minimising geodesic from x_0 to x_1, and that the exponential map is not degenerate along this geodesic (in particular, x_0 and x_1 are not conjugate points). An analysis of Jacobi fields reveals that the injectivity region is open, that the distance function is smooth in this region (except at the origin), and that all the computations given above for the distance function can be justified. So it remains to understand what happens on the complement of the injectivity region, known as the cut locus. Points on the cut locus are either conjugate points to x_0, or are else places where minimising geodesics are not unique, which (by a variant of the Gauss lemma) forces the distance function to be non-differentiable at these points. The former type of points form a set of measure zero, thanks to Sard’s theorem, whereas the latter set of points also form a set of measure zero, thanks to Radamacher’s differentiation theorem and the Lipschitz nature of the distance function (i.e. the triangle inequality). Thus the injectivity region has full measure. While this does mean that pointwise inequalities such as (2) now hold almost everywhere, this is unfortunately not quite enough to ensure that (2) holds in the sense of distributions, which is what one really needs in order to fully justify results such as the Bishop-Gromov inequality. (Indeed, by considering simple examples such as the unit circle, we see that the distribution \Delta r can in fact contain some negative singular measures, although one should note that this does not actually contradict (2) due to the favourable sign of these singular components.) Fortunately, one can address this technical issue by constructing barrier functions to the radius function r at every point x_1, i.e. C^2 functions u=u_{\varepsilon} for each \varepsilon > 0 which upper bound r near x_1 (and match r exactly at x_1, and which obeys the inequality (2) at x_1 up to a loss of \varepsilon. Such functions can be constructed at any x_1, even those in the cut locus, by perturbing the origin x_0 by an epsilon, and then one can use these barrier functions to justify (2) in the sense of distributions. (I believe that these arguments to control the distance function outside of the injectivity region originate with a paper of Calabi.) From this one can rigorously justify the Bishop-Gromov inequality for all radii, even those exceeding the radius of injectivity.

Analogues of the above assertions hold for the monotonicity of Perelman reduced volume on flows on compact Ricci flows (and more generally for Ricci flows of complete manifolds of bounded curvature). For instance, one can show (using compactness arguments in various weighted Sobolev spaces) that, as long as the manifold M is connected, a minimiser to (3) always exists, and is attained by an {\mathcal L}-geodesic (defined as a curve \gamma: [0,\tau_1] \to M for which the G quantity defined in (27) vanishes). [One can easily reduce to the connected case, since the reduced length is clearly infinite when x_0 and x_1 lie on distinct connected components.] Such geodesics turn out to have a well-defined “initial velocity” v := \lim_{\tau \to 0} \sqrt{\tau} X(\tau), as can be seen by working out the ODE for the quantity \sqrt{\tau} X(\tau) (it is also convenient to reparameterise in terms of the variable r := \sqrt{\tau} to remove any apparent singularity at \tau=0). This leads to an {\mathcal L}-exponential map {\mathcal L}\exp_{(0,x_0),\tau_1}: T_{x_0} M \to M for any fixed time -\tau_1, which is smooth. The derivative of this map is controlled by {\mathcal L}-Jacobi fields, which are close analogues of their elliptic counterparts, and which lead to the notion of a {\mathcal L}-conjugate point x_1 to (0,x_0) at the fixed time -\tau_1. One can then define the injectivity domain and cut locus as before (again for a fixed time -\tau_1), and show as before that the former region has full measure. This lets one rigorously derive (6) almost everywhere (especially after noting that any segment of a minimising {\mathcal L}-geodesic without conjugate points is again a minimising {\mathcal L}-geodesic without conjugate points, thus establishing that the injectivity region is in some sense “star-shaped”), but again one needs to justify (6) in the sense of distributions in order to derive the monotonicity of Perelman reduced volume. This can again be done by use of barrier functions, perturbing the base point (0,x_0) both spatially and also backwards in time by an epsilon. The details of this become rather technical; see for instance the paper of Ye or the notes of Kleiner-Lott, for details.

Thus far we have only discussed how reduced length and reduced volume behave on smooth Ricci flows of compact manifolds. Of course, to fully establish the global existence of Ricci flow with surgery, one also needs to build an analogous theory for Ricci flows with surgery. Here there turns out to be significant new technical difficulties, basically because one has to restrict attention to paths \gamma which avoid all regions in which surgery is taking place. This creates some “holes” in the region of integration for the reduced volume, as in some cases the minimising path between two points in spacetime goes through a surgery region. Fortunately it turns out that (very roughly speaking) these holes only occur when the reduced length (or a somewhat technical modification thereof) is rather large, which means that the holes do not significantly impact lower bounds on this reduced volume, which is what is needed to establish \kappa-noncollapsing. If time permits, I will discuss this issue further in later lectures, once we have described surgery in more detail.

In order to control ancient \kappa-noncollapsing solutions, which are complete but not necessarily compact, one also needs to extend the above theory to complete non-compact manifolds. It turns out that this can be done as long as one has uniform bounds on curvature; a key task here is to establish that the reduced length l_{(0,x_0)}(-\tau_1,x_1) behaves roughly like d(x_0,x_1)^2/4\tau_1 (which is basically what it is in the Euclidean case) as x_1 goes to infinity, which allows the integrand in the definition of reduced volume to have enough decay to justify all computations. The technical details here can be found in several places, including the paper of Ye, the notes of Kleiner-Lott, the book of Morgan-Tian, and the paper of Cao-Zhu.

Remark 1. A theory analogous to Perelman’s theory above was worked out earlier by Li and Yau, but with the Ricci flow replaced by a static manifold with a lower bound on Ricci curvature, and with a time-dependent potential attached to the Laplacian. \diamond